Path to Rob Ford's re-election as Toronto mayor unclear but not impossible

Toronto Mayor Rob Ford, right, files his reelection papers at Toronto City Hall on Thursday. In the...

Toronto Mayor Rob Ford, right, files his reelection papers at Toronto City Hall on Thursday. In the background, his brother Councillor Doug Ford who will also serve as his campaign manager. (DAVE THOMAS/QMI Agency)

Jenny Yuen, QMI Agency

, Last Updated: 10:01 PM ET

TORONTO - Rob Ford has a rocky road ahead of him if he wants to reclaim the keys to the mayor’s office next fall.

Two days into 2014 and surrounded by hordes of media, Ford wasted no time in relaunching his bid for re-election on Oct. 27, boasting about his “strongest track record” and being “the best mayor the city has ever had.”

But the polls aren’t so certain.

A November Ipsos Reid survey tested four scenarios with different declared or likely candidates and the mayor fails to win or come close in any of them.

In a three-way vote, TTC Chair Karen Stintz would beat Ford and former councillor David Soknacki, who threw his hat in the ring this week. Stintz would claim roughly 52% of the vote, Ford would have 33% and Soknacki, 14%.

If former Ontario PC leader John Tory came in, he would take 41% of the vote, putting Stintz and Ford in second and third place respectively. If MP Olivia Chow were to run instead of Tory, she would beat Ford with 44% support.


Videos

Photos