Liberals hold big lead in New Brunswick election: poll

Brian Gallant's New Brunswick Liberal Party in Montreal in February 2014. (Joel Lemay/QMI Agency)

Brian Gallant's New Brunswick Liberal Party in Montreal in February 2014. (Joel Lemay/QMI Agency)

David Akin, National Bureau Chief

, Last Updated: 5:14 PM ET

OTTAWA -- Brian Gallant's New Brunswick Liberal Party held a commanding lead over incumbent Progressive Conservative Premier David Alward as the province's 38th general election opened, a new poll says.

The poll, done by Toronto-based Forum Research and released late Friday night, said Gallant's Liberals had the support of 46% of voters compared to Alward's PCs at 31%. The New Brunswick NDP, led by Dominic Cardy, was at 15% while the New Brunswick Greens led by David Coon were at 7%.

The automated telephone poll of 932 New Brunswickers was done on Aug. 25, three days after the campaign officially started. New Brunswickers will go to the polls on Sept. 22.

Alward has staked his campaign on a strong endorsement of developing shale gas resources through fracking. Both Gallant and Cardy oppose fracking.

Forum was not commissioned by any media organization, political party or other outside group to do this poll. Its poll, though, was released hours after the Alward's PCs leaked the results of an internal poll, done by NRG Group of Winnipeg.

NRG, surveying 1,215 New Brunswickers in live telephone interviews between Aug 21-25, said that the Liberal lead over the Tories was just eight points, 34% to 26%. The NRG/PC poll found the NDP at 13% and Greens at 5%, a result similar to the Forum poll.


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